What Makes This Trade Great: SCS – A Lesson in Assumptions
What Makes This Trade Great: SCS – A Lesson in Assumptions
Aug 4, 2025
Hey everyone,
Barrie Einarson here with today’s edition of What Makes This Trade Great. Let’s talk about SCS, a name that gave me a good reminder: never assume too much in this market. To Subscribe: https://go.trade-ideas.com/SHQ
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The Setup
Our AI flagged SCS at $15.42. At first glance, I passed on it. Why? Simple—I saw the word buyout and thought, “That’s it. Game over. Probably just going to sit flat all day.”
That’s usually how buyouts behave. The price sticks close to the acquisition level and doesn’t move much, if at all. And you know what? That assumption cost me.
What Actually Happened
SCS took off. After the alert, it moved up strongly and reached a high of $17—a solid pop that I completely missed because I talked myself out of the trade.
Even with the pullback, that move was not typical of buyout behavior, and it just goes to show: when the price action disagrees with your thesis, price action wins.
The Lesson
This was a great example of why flexibility matters in trading. Yes, there are patterns and tendencies we rely on—but every setup is unique. Dismissing something just because it “usually” doesn’t work out can keep you from capturing strong moves like this one.
Had I stayed open to what the AI was showing me, and what the chart was doing, I might have caught a great intraday run. Instead, it became a mental note and a teaching moment.
Final Thoughts
Even when you’ve been trading for years, you’re going to have moments like this—moments where the market humbles you. The key is to learn fast and adjust faster. That’s how we grow as traders.
See you in the room tomorrow.
—
Barrie Einarson